When I was a child, around the age of 6 or 7, the pillows we had to lay our head on at night were stuffed with feathers: possibly geese or duck feathers. Stuffed in this way the pillow was sometimes lumpy in places when I got into bed. I would spend the first minute or so pounding and manipulating the pillow so that it wasn’t lumpy – the technical term appears to be “fluffing.”
One of these nights it occurred to me that no matter
where on the pillow I would pummel it, the feathers would shift to another part
of the pillow. The contents of the pillow – the feathers – would remain. They
just shifted position.
I cannot remember exactly what I deduced from this
observation at the time, except possibly that my pummelling had no real effect
upon the whole pillow. The feathers just shifted from one place to another.
Many years later I learnt what it was I was observing
with my attempt to re-shape my pillow as a child.
I learnt the basics of systems theory and chaos theory.
I learnt that what we do to one part of a system
(pillow) influences another part (the feathers move.)
I also learnt that systems have boundaries (the pillow
slip) and limits.
These were important lessons.
We live on a planet where what we do to one part has consequences
for another part. Todays globalised economy and interlinked supply chains
ensure this. Furthermore, it may only be a small event or incident that we do
in one part, yet the outcome in another part may be significant. Chaos theory
calls this the Butterfly Effect.
We also live on a planet that has boundaries. Since
2009 the Stockholm Resilience Centre (based at Stockholm University) has been
identifying and enumerating nine planetary boundaries (climate change,
biosphere integrity, land-system change, freshwater change, biogeochemical
flows, ocean acidification, atmospheric aerosol loading, stratospheric ozone
depletion, and novel entities.1)
The latest (2023) update from the Stockholm Resilience
Centre warns that “six (of these) boundaries are now transgressed,
and pressure is increasing on all boundary processes except ozone depletion.”2
My metaphorical pillow is being torn
apart.
We have known for some time too that Earth
has limits. Exactly when we reached (or will reach) Peak Oil is still being
debated. However, we do know from current reserves and expected new finds that
oil is likely to run out within the next 50 or so years. We know too, that of
all the Earth’s wild forests, only 25% remain.
Each year more than 90 billion tons of
biomass, fossil fuels, metal, and minerals are extracted from the Earth.3
Alarmingly, this rate of extraction has more than tripled in just 50 years.
The feathers in my metaphorical pillow are
being depleted, and not replaced.
Somewhere in my 7-year-old consciousness
these concepts were embedding themselves. Today, decades later, I know what
lessons my pillow was offering me.
Notes:
1. Novel entities are created and introduced
into the environment by humans (e.g. chemicals, and plastics) that have a
disruptive impact upon the environment. There are now estimated to be more than
144,000 such artificially created entities, with 2,000 new synthetic chemicals being released
every year.
2. https://www.stockholmresilience.org/research/planetary-boundaries.html accessed 30 April 2024
3. This is more than 11 tons per person per
year for every person on Earth. In the rich nations of the world the extraction rate per capita is
staggering: 30 tons per person in North America and over 20 tons for those
living in Europe. The extraction rate is highly disproportionate. Data
mentioned in these two paragraphs from https://www.theworldcounts.com accessed 30 April 2024
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